Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 8.566077 9.626262 10.727373 11.953196 13.276521 14.658937 16.209099
2024-10-06 7.262464 8.820620 10.525807 12.517267 14.765888 17.213295 20.065244
2024-10-13 6.405297 8.240888 10.327585 12.848141 15.782740 19.064871 22.985774
2024-10-20 5.462186 7.420599 9.727088 12.599464 16.035497 19.970004 24.770520
2024-10-27 4.571257 6.555348 8.974374 12.075907 15.881066 20.333224 25.869605
2024-11-03 4.156586 6.233825 8.839038 12.257897 16.536314 21.626119 28.047609
2024-11-10 3.807097 5.957490 8.726808 12.439527 17.169663 22.880916 30.178905
2024-11-17 3.376357 5.529991 8.382416 12.292506 17.366324 23.585061 31.633502
2024-11-24 3.069933 5.244400 8.199066 12.330713 17.779468 24.545533 33.399180
2024-12-01 2.771559 4.942350 7.969002 12.285464 18.068516 25.340746 34.957318
2024-12-08 2.518027 4.682837 7.777242 12.273660 18.387611 26.166310 36.552559
2024-12-15 2.482267 4.749021 8.043476 12.889936 19.543697 28.073345 39.533159
2024-12-22 2.275090 4.536290 7.902518 12.942240 19.956019 29.042611 41.356408
2024-12-29 2.236439 4.589300 8.150375 13.545783 21.123546 31.010226 44.485127
2025-01-05 2.134534 4.528967 8.222598 13.895322 21.945181 32.531070 47.051237
2025-01-12 1.890923 4.208947 7.882472 13.632257 21.908523 32.910471 48.132804
2025-01-19 1.607245 3.790210 7.362264 13.078032 21.441077 32.695908 48.421240
2025-01-26 1.510275 3.696543 7.347520 13.270723 22.025281 33.895960 50.580668
2025-02-02 1.420857 3.608454 7.335312 13.462988 22.608047 35.097518 52.751301
2025-02-09 1.273196 3.394534 7.103572 13.307363 22.680722 35.598230 53.986582
2025-02-16 1.173407 3.264297 7.002881 13.347809 23.034173 36.484105 55.743018
2025-02-23 1.067305 3.109953 6.851351 13.299908 23.252124 37.180365 57.245933
2025-03-02 0.975763 2.976031 6.726624 13.287412 23.517837 37.941947 58.840752